Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 3.318011 3.876846 4.517173 5.308738 6.265860 7.391878 8.825874
2025-01-26 2.619258 3.369636 4.332274 5.674381 7.523595 10.021132 13.717304
2025-02-02 2.226336 3.047968 4.183019 5.899168 8.488057 12.347761 18.733827
2025-02-09 1.973800 2.840136 4.110768 6.164883 9.509751 14.940952 24.864297
2025-02-16 1.745052 2.615126 3.955723 6.247914 10.231976 17.200454 31.112946
2025-02-23 1.573010 2.442825 3.842687 6.359600 11.002057 19.702374 38.599385
2025-03-02 1.403386 2.246017 3.653307 6.295547 11.428907 21.657771 45.641684
2025-03-09 1.292263 2.128705 3.576448 6.411910 12.210765 24.499792 55.666413
2025-03-16 1.172969 1.980387 3.421415 6.349128 12.612896 26.636964 64.837424
2025-03-23 1.076398 1.859653 3.298398 6.324884 13.086201 29.055074 75.744313
2025-03-30 0.980796 1.728976 3.138551 6.196592 13.298651 30.906745 85.874650
2025-04-06 0.925293 1.666773 3.102380 6.323131 14.128688 34.555322 103.239480
2025-04-13 0.835506 1.538754 2.939172 6.192481 14.438229 37.296815 120.633921
2025-04-20 0.803782 1.523648 3.010915 6.629219 16.368190 45.575669 164.833953
2025-04-27 0.761186 1.479654 3.012771 6.898673 17.939873 53.533410 215.302475
2025-05-04 0.726294 1.446556 3.032514 7.217516 19.767512 63.301946 284.588764
2025-05-11 0.680425 1.383436 2.973427 7.317233 20.971464 71.523895 356.153364
2025-05-18 0.641498 1.330568 2.930133 7.451427 22.343713 81.226640 449.868369
2025-05-25 0.595101 1.254993 2.820526 7.374457 22.983926 88.317176 537.782440
2025-06-01 0.564494 1.212335 2.786592 7.514303 24.461209 100.150978 681.685707
2025-06-08 0.526676 1.148166 2.688562 7.438842 25.118894 108.579018 814.969330
2025-06-15 0.494587 1.094264 2.610030 7.409707 25.963494 118.650106 986.945438
2025-06-22 0.460397 1.031544 2.499637 7.255592 26.256220 126.031898 1150.521152